j"1LAnZuoQdcKCkpDBKQMCgziGMoPC4VQUckM <div class="post">using seconds from 12/18/2009 3:56:01 as base 0 (the last time difficulty was 1.0000), A y=mx+b linear regression of the log of difficulty levels:<br/><br/>m=2.87698e-07<br/>b=-0.611057<br/><br/>use b=-363.4351 for the seconds you programmers use.<br/><br/>example: block 46368 was generated at 1269212064. exp(1269212064*2.87698e-07 - 363.4351) = exp(1.71409) = predicted level of 5.551602 vs actual level of 4.565162.<br/><br/><a href="http://www.freeimagehosting.net/"><img alt="" border="0" class="userimg" src="https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.freeimagehosting.net%2Fuploads%2F65e945c683.png&t=589&c=Y7fQ1tkC5cqzSw"/></a><br/><br/>The correlation factor was 0.957 between the date and log of difficulty level.<br/><br/>This predicts future difficulty levels of:<br/><br/>9/30/2010 : 677.7963<br/>10/31/2010 : 1,464.7148<br/>11/30/2010 : 3,087.5334<br/>12/31/2010 : 6,672.1461<br/>1/31/2011 : 14,418.4781<br/>2/28/2011 : 28,919.2776<br/>3/31/2011 : 62,494.4307<br/>4/30/2011 : 131,734.6149<br/>5/31/2011 : 284,677.9188<br/>6/30/2011 : 600,084.4486<br/>12/31/2011 : 58,149,375.6523<br/><br/><b>If</b> the trend continues, it will be quite difficult to generate coins in the near future <img alt="Tongue" border="0" src="/static/img/emoticons/tongue.gif"/></div> text/html
https://whatsonchain.com/tx/5c059cf1d37c1aa9c0ddf63b3e8af66a0f25d2d5bd7807914632eb04a6f7550f